Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.150592 0.171445 0.194590 0.222260 0.254542 0.291137 0.335932
2026-01-04 0.118418 0.146334 0.180385 0.225329 0.283610 0.357340 0.458804
2026-01-11 0.099759 0.130671 0.171025 0.228303 0.308719 0.419424 0.586570
2026-01-18 0.088106 0.120885 0.166071 0.234134 0.336218 0.487189 0.734203
2026-01-25 0.078085 0.111294 0.159183 0.235003 0.355300 0.544583 0.877046
2026-02-01 0.069985 0.103075 0.152692 0.234758 0.371639 0.599394 1.026319
2026-02-08 0.062962 0.095424 0.145798 0.232410 0.383501 0.648001 1.174512
2026-02-15 0.057008 0.088640 0.139259 0.229410 0.393270 0.693956 1.327322
2026-02-22 0.053501 0.085320 0.137820 0.234678 0.418210 0.771644 1.561202
2026-03-01 0.048981 0.079796 0.131973 0.231175 0.426011 0.817315 1.738060
2026-03-08 0.045649 0.075925 0.128501 0.231464 0.441007 0.879938 1.968650
2026-03-15 0.042646 0.072311 0.125055 0.231267 0.454836 0.942421 2.215311
2026-03-22 0.040626 0.070310 0.124430 0.236716 0.481851 1.040548 2.584126
2026-03-29 0.038471 0.067856 0.122700 0.239725 0.504187 1.132891 2.968087
2026-04-05 0.036540 0.065629 0.121153 0.242874 0.527349 1.232217 3.405550
2026-04-12 0.035118 0.064231 0.121068 0.249129 0.558866 1.359814 3.974982
2026-04-19 0.033283 0.061850 0.118738 0.250061 0.577551 1.457602 4.485287
2026-04-26 0.031500 0.059415 0.116046 0.249798 0.593183 1.550594 5.015970
2026-05-03 0.029676 0.056738 0.112581 0.247277 0.602515 1.627665 5.520691
2026-05-10 0.027952 0.054127 0.109011 0.244055 0.609460 1.699386 6.036011
2026-05-17 0.027072 0.053208 0.109049 0.249711 0.642069 1.859607 6.985732
2026-05-24 0.025548 0.050795 0.105529 0.245950 0.647109 1.931596 7.590617
2026-05-31 0.024432 0.049178 0.103671 0.246261 0.664300 2.049452 8.465759